Alabama basketball is clinging to an NCAA bid and in want of a massive gain or a string of wins to solidify qualifying for the Significant Dance.
Alabama basketball faces a should-gain match situation Tuesday in opposition to Auburn. The decline to LSU did not ruin the Tide’s NCAA likelihood but a further gain in opposition to a Quad 1 crew is desired. Auburn may well be the final prospect.
A lot less probable, although nevertheless probable, is the Tide surviving losses to LSU and Auburn if it goes on the road and beats Arkansas, followed by two SEC Tournament wins. Beating the Hogs on the road will tougher than the Razorbacks record implies. In their final two game titles, they conquer Ole Miss out on and arrived quite close to beating Kentucky in Lexington. Let’s see exactly where Alabama basketball stands in Bracketology projections following the LSU match.
Most admirers are content to comply with Joe Lunardi and Jerry Palm. Both are fantastic, but there are at minimum various other as credible, and in some cases much more credible prognosticators.
A excellent summary supply to comply with is Bracketmatrix.com that lists around 100 bracketologists. The most recent Matrix has Alabama as an 11-seed and stated in 95 of 102 brackets submitted.
A further appealing supply is Teamrankings.com. Based on their S-curve calculation, Alabama basketball likelihood have moved down from 54.8 p.c to a 44 p.c probability of an NCAA bid. That S-curve implies the Crimson Tide is the next greatest No. 12 seed in the now projected NCAA industry.
Two other bracketologists whose latest track document is similar to Lunardi and Palm have different viewpoints of the Tide’s likelihood. Bracketville has the Tide as an 11-seed. The web-site assignments the Tide at the final of the ‘Last 4 Byes’ and not involved in the ‘Last 4 In.’ 1-3-1 Sports activities has the Crimson Tide as a 12-seed and the initial crew of the ‘Last 4 In.’
Joe Lunardi has Alabama basketball as an 11-seed. According to Lunardi, the Crimson Tide is not in the ‘Last 4 In’ but is the final crew in the industry with a bye. Jerry Palm has the Crimson Tide as an 11-seed. He does not have the Crimson Tide in his ‘Last 4 In.’
The Alabama Crimson Tide has a recent NCAA Net Position of 54 following the decline to LSU. The leading 49 groups in the Net Rankings are not 100 p.c locks but they are in sturdy positions. Teams can make the Significant Dance with a Net Position in the fifties, potentially even in the sixties. The new rankings format can build some oddities. Penn Condition lost to the Crimson Tide and has an over-all 12-17 document. The Nittany Lions have a Net Position of 49.
It is time to start off thinking about NCAA bid stealers. The Mountain West now has two groups solidly in the industry following Utah Condition conquer Nevada. The outcome takes an at-massive bid away from some crew.
It is now quite close to ‘win or go home’ time. Alabama basketball requires two or three more wins. A projected 11 or 12-seed is a precarious position.